Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#56
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#40
Pace60.4#325
Improvement-1.0#222

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot+4.1#66
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#126
Layup/Dunks+1.7#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#231
Freethrows-1.3#259
Improvement-1.0#231

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#56
First Shot+2.7#85
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#9
Layups/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#115
Freethrows-0.8#223
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round26.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 202   Murray St. W 87-81 90%     1 - 0 +1.2 +8.3 -7.2
  Nov 19, 2016 183   Tennessee St. L 63-74 88%     1 - 1 -14.4 -5.0 -10.1
  Nov 22, 2016 132   Toledo W 80-70 84%     2 - 1 +9.2 +5.9 +3.4
  Nov 25, 2016 67   UNC Wilmington W 68-63 56%     3 - 1 +13.0 +0.8 +12.7
  Nov 26, 2016 132   Toledo W 73-70 OT 77%     4 - 1 +4.7 +1.2 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2016 154   Evansville W 66-55 80%     5 - 1 +11.6 +3.1 +10.0
  Nov 30, 2016 70   @ Mississippi W 77-62 47%     6 - 1 +25.4 +15.4 +11.2
  Dec 03, 2016 241   @ South Alabama W 67-55 87%     7 - 1 +9.6 +2.1 +8.9
  Dec 08, 2016 34   Vanderbilt W 71-48 49%     8 - 1 +32.8 +7.9 +26.3
  Dec 14, 2016 97   @ Belmont W 79-66 59%     9 - 1 +20.2 +17.5 +4.2
  Dec 17, 2016 51   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 77-80 38%     9 - 2 +9.8 +18.2 -8.6
  Dec 21, 2016 128   Georgia St. L 56-64 83%     9 - 3 -8.6 -8.9 -0.8
  Jan 01, 2017 193   UAB W 60-49 90%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +6.8 -3.1 +12.1
  Jan 05, 2017 158   @ Rice W 80-77 74%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +6.0 +9.4 -3.3
  Jan 07, 2017 315   @ North Texas W 79-68 94%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +3.2 +11.8 -7.3
  Jan 12, 2017 155   Marshall W 69-57 86%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +10.0 -10.6 +20.2
  Jan 14, 2017 229   Western Kentucky W 91-76 93%     14 - 3 5 - 0 +8.2 +24.3 -14.4
  Jan 19, 2017 276   @ Florida International W 65-52 90%     15 - 3 6 - 0 +8.6 +2.7 +8.8
  Jan 21, 2017 271   @ Florida Atlantic W 86-57 90%     16 - 3 7 - 0 +24.8 +14.2 +11.5
  Jan 26, 2017 316   Southern Miss W 72-56 97%     17 - 3 8 - 0 +3.1 +8.2 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2017 101   Louisiana Tech W 71-61 77%     18 - 3 9 - 0 +11.7 +6.7 +6.1
  Feb 02, 2017 257   @ Texas San Antonio W 69-59 88%     19 - 3 10 - 0 +7.0 +7.6 +0.8
  Feb 04, 2017 195   @ UTEP L 54-57 80%     19 - 4 10 - 1 -2.1 -6.4 +3.6
  Feb 09, 2017 131   Old Dominion W 64-51 84%     20 - 4 11 - 1 +12.2 +4.5 +9.7
  Feb 11, 2017 237   Charlotte W 70-55 93%     21 - 4 12 - 1 +7.8 -4.6 +13.1
  Feb 16, 2017 229   @ Western Kentucky W 78-52 85%     22 - 4 13 - 1 +24.3 +20.6 +9.4
  Feb 18, 2017 155   @ Marshall W 97-86 74%     23 - 4 14 - 1 +14.0 +15.7 -2.4
  Feb 26, 2017 193   @ UAB W 66-64 80%     24 - 4 15 - 1 +2.9 +5.2 -2.0
  Mar 02, 2017 276   Florida International W 70-67 95%     25 - 4 16 - 1 -6.4 -2.1 -4.0
  Mar 04, 2017 271   Florida Atlantic W 93-59 95%     26 - 4 17 - 1 +24.8 +14.3 +9.8
  Mar 09, 2017 257   Texas San Antonio W 86-70 91%     27 - 4 +10.5 +26.9 -14.1
  Mar 10, 2017 195   UTEP W 82-56 85%     28 - 4 +24.3 +9.9 +14.4
  Mar 11, 2017 155   Marshall W 83-72 80%     29 - 4 +11.5 +5.8 +5.6
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.2 0.1 0.9 3.1 9.4 46.2 40.3 0.1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.2 0.1 0.9 3.1 9.4 46.2 40.3 0.1